Treasuries Recoup!

By Darrin Stobaugh

Treasuries Recoup!

Today shows two consecutive days that Treasuries have gained which totals almost have of what they lost since the Federal Reserve commented in their two day meeting last week that they would be purchasing additional debt as part of their continued efforts to spur the economy.  The bright side is that the central bank is not going to discontinue buying debt in the near future, so that means cheaper lending in hopes that companies will borrower and grow.  For more Treasury-ING news, check out: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-09-18/treasuries-gain-as-u-s-data-underscore-growth-concern.html

Oil slips!

Crude oil futures dropped today continuing a fall from yesterday as the commodity brokers await the supply report, which last time showed more in reserves than had been thought, which may be the case again and drop prices of crude oil even lower.  On the bright side, we might actually see this at the pump due to Hurricane Isaac dissolving and oil rigs in the Gulf of Mexico re-starting production.  This should increase people’s spendable cash to purchase other items to help push the economy.  For more over the barrel talk, click: http://www.marketwatch.com/story/oil-stays-weak-as-analysts-debate-prior-day-tumble-2012-09-18

I think it’s a horse!

And I would be wrong, but you can’t tell me someone has not tried to ride this huge thing!  Yes, I am speaking of Zeus the Great Dane who is the World’s tallest dog!  At just 3 years old, when standing on his hind legs is 7’4” tall.  His water bowl is the kitchen sink.  And probably requires a snow shovel to take care of his business.  He isn’t the only world record holder, to see more, saddle up and click: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/09/13/great-dane-from-michigan-_0_n_1881596.html?utm_hp_ref=weird-news

Today’s rates are not setting any world records as they are trending up just a small tick!

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Bet, bet, bet?!

By Darrin Stobaugh

Bet, bet, bet?!

The yields on the 10-year notes and other inflation-linked securities have continued to widen their spread exceeding marks set in the last 5 months.  This is in part due to speculators betting that the Federal Reserve will continue to add stimuli to try and bolster the economy further.  The bright side of this is that any stimulation to the economy is a good thing for both businesses and individuals.  The goal is to make borrowing cheaper and pushing companies to grow and hire.  For more on this bet, check out: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-09-10/treasuries-snap-loss-as-china-data-fuels-growth-concern.html

Can’t forget about Europe!

Yes the ever present crisis in Europe will be in our news for a long time to come.  Even the current optimism about the European Central Bank’s President Mario Draghi’s “do whatever it takes” statements will only bolster optimism for the short term.  There are still many possible road blocks and opportunity for setbacks.  Traders will need to take time to analyze the moves made as well as reactions from within the European Union to these actions.  On the bright side, the gains should continue for a bit longer which allows other stimuli to help support and elongate the gains even further.  For more Euro trashing, click: http://www.marketwatch.com/story/euro-optimism-wont-last-for-long-2012-09-10

Snake powered cars!

Well you would think after seeing this video of a couple who went to start their car and when it started to make hissing sounds they looked under the hood to see what was wrong.  Well, surprise, surprise it wasn’t a busted radiator or a fouled fuel line, no it was much more serious.  And when we say serious, we don’t mean a more extensive and expensive repair, but serious as in dangerous!  Sitting under the hood was a huge 16 foot Python coiled up to the engine, almost covering the whole engine! To add to this, the couple had to drive 3 miles with this snake on the engine to the nearest “look-out” before they could attempt to get the snake out.  For more on this scaly situation, slither your mouse over to: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/09/08/marlene-swart-leon-swanepoel-python-car-hood_n_1867037.html?utm_hp_ref=weird-news

Today’s rates are something to hiss at as they are trending up a tick!

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Funnies for Friday!

imageBy Darrin Stobaugh

Funnies for Friday!

A completely inebriated man was stumbling down the street with one foot on the curb and one foot in the gutter. A cop pulled up and said, “I’ve got to take you in, pal. You’re obviously drunk.”

Our wasted friend asked, “Officer, are ya absolutely sure I’m drunk?”

"Yeah, buddy, I’m sure," said the copper. "Let’s go."

Breathing a sigh of relief, the wino said, “Thank goodness, I thought I was crippled.”

http://www.lotsofjokes.com/latest_jokes.asp

An elderly couple were killed in an accident and found themselves being given a tour of heaven by Saint Peter. “Here is your oceanside condo, over there are the tennis courts, swimming pool, and two golf courses. If you need any refreshments, just stop by any of the many bars located throughout the area.”

"Heck, Gloria," the old man hissed when Saint Peter walked off, "we could have been here ten years ago if you hadn’t heard about all that stupid oat bran, wheat germ, and low-fat diets!"

http://www.lotsofjokes.com/latest_jokes.asp

An elderly patient gets hearing aids from a doctor. After short time, he meets the doctor again.

Doctor, “Your hearing is perfect. Your family must be really pleased.”
Patient, “Oh, I am in a funny situation now. I haven’t told my family yet. I just sit and listen to their conversations. In a month, I’ve changed my will three times!”

http://www.lotsofjokes.com/latest_jokes.asp

Today’s rates are keeping happy by trending down a couple ticks!

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Treasuries rose, inflation slowed!

By Darrin Stobaugh

Treasuries rose, inflation slowed!

The yields on the US 10-year notes fell today to a level not seen in almost 3 weeks.  This was spurred by reports showing that inflation has been bridled a bit.  This leads some to speculate that the Federal Reserve Chairman Ben s. Bernanke will be able to add monetary stimulus to push the economy forward.  The bright side of this is this ability of the Fed Chair to continue to add stimuli to the monetary policy and help bring the US economy into a healthy state.  For more inflated news, check out:  http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-08-30/treasuries-snap-loss-as-gross-says-fed-to-implement-qe3.html

European stocks look to Bernanke?

It appears European stockholders are more interested in what the US Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke has to say, than their own financial leaders.  Amid a fury of disappointing macroeconomic data, European stocks plunged!  European investors are looking toward to the Fed Chair’s speech on Friday.  This speech which is supposed to have some mention of additional stimuli that could be added to the US economy; however, any real change will probably come after the elections in November. The bright side of this is that European investors will have possibly something to hang their hat on and that the possible stimuli will not be a deciding factor in the US elections.  For more European news, take stock and click: http://www.marketwatch.com/story/europe-stocks-drop-ahead-of-bernanke-speech-2012-08-30

Britain worried about bad UFO drivers?

Well even though the UK’s Ministry of Defense said they would not pursue any more UFO investigations back in 2009, they apparently had a change of heart.  You may ask why would they start back up with additional investigations with UK pilots?  Well apparently the Ministry is concerned about safe air travel and possible accidents with these UFOs.  It seems that if a ship has the technology to travel the galaxy and avoid asteroids and space junk, that the technology could probably avoid earth’s aircrafts.  Especially beings the sightings and verification of such objects is scarce, they obviously now how to stay out of the way.  For more on UFO driving school, fly over to: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/08/28/ufo-sightings-british-civil-aviation-authority_n_1832289.html?utm_hp_ref=weird-news

Today’s rates are identified as trending down a good jump!

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More Speculation!

By Darrin Stobaugh

More Speculation!

Well if you haven’t figured it out yet, the Treasuries seem to react more on speculation than the actual facts.  Today, Treasuries advanced on speculation of what Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke might have on his speech scheduled for Friday August 31st in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.  The hope is that he will use this opportunity to further the support for additional actions by the Central Bank to support and push the economy forward.  The bright side of this possible action is that we can possibly see lending relaxed a bit and rates to stay low while jobs are being created.  A possible win/win.  For more of the spectator view, check out:  http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-08-27/treasuries-advance-before-bernanke-speaks-at-jackson-hole.html

Crude weathering the Storm?

Here at the Guardian Watch, we are not in the business of reporting on the weather, but it appears the weather in the Gulf of Mexico will be a topic, as the oil rigs in the Gulf are battening down their platforms bracing for the now categorized Tropical Storm Isaac, which is expected to turn into Hurricane status within the next 24 hours.  Due to this action, production of crude oil will slow down or cease temporarily, raising the cost of barrels of crude oil, and adding to the Chevron refinery fire in Richmond, California is going to drive the gasoline prices higher.  This additional cost will reduce the purchases in other sectors of the economy.  What is the bright side?  This Tropical Storm is estimated to not reach higher than a Category 2 Hurricane, so the possible destruction and interference with oil pumping should be very temporary.  In addition, a personal note from the Guardian Watch to the Gulf Coast states, please be safe and listen to your local officials to ensure your continued safety.

Shakespeare Muse under a Parking Lot?

Scratching your head, me too.  Apparently a team of archeologists from University of Leicester began to scan a parking lot in the town of Leicester’s city council for the remains of King Richard III.  Yes, King Richard III, who was killed in battle in 1485 in the War of the Roses, and buried in the Franciscan Friary known as the Greyfriars, whose church apparently stood on that ground.  The puzzling issue for the Guardian is who tore down the church and did not move the body to a more Royal burial site?  For more on this unfolding drama, act like an Archeologist and dig your mouse here:  http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/08/25/richard-iii-may-be-buried-under-parking-lot_n_1830045.html?utm_hp_ref=weird-news

Today’s rates should be tarred over and buried as they are trending up!

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What is good is bad!

By Darrin Stobaugh

What is good is bad!

So it appears the 10-year Notes have experienced a rally not seen since April.  What is fueling this?  The jump in jobless benefits and now a change in view that the Federal Reserve may increase the monetary stimuli.  When parts of the economy are in need of help, it improves the Bonds.  I know this is Bond Market 101, but it just seems crazy sometimes day to day.  So let’s look at the bright side.  Additional stimulus to the monetary policy is good, as that should keep rates low for not only home lending, but business lending as well.  This helps improve the economy but degrades the Bonds.  For more of the Good News Bad News Bears, check out: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-08-23/treasury-yields-near-one-week-lows-as-u-s-jobless-claims-rise.html

Federal Contradiction?

It appears that one Federal Reserve Chief is trying to dampen the thought of the Federal Reserve adding more stimuli to the monetary policy.  St. Louis President, James Bullard, was said to have been “sent on a mission of clarity”, analysts said.  In his opinion, the FOMC release was “a bit stale”, and stated he was opposed to further easing of the monetary policies.  The bright side of this is that he is only one of the Presidents of the Federal Reserve, and that there are still others that do back the possibility, although since the release of the minutes yesterday from the quarterly meeting, they have not come out and said as much.  For more Federal contemplation, click: http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-stocks-retreat-as-stimulus-debated-2012-08-23?link=MW_story_popular

Is Reality Catching up With Fantasy?

It appears it has.  The Star Wars hover bike has been developed!!  No more bumpy bides or terrain you cannot bike across!  This hover bike, developed by Aerofex, have designed and built the Star Wars-like bike and while it has its limitations, like not going 90 mph or turning on a dime around trees, it still is quite a bike!  For more out of this world creation, hover your mouse over: http://thefw.com/real-life-star-wars-speeder-bikes-may-be-on-the-way/

Today’s rates are starting their decline, hovering down by a couple jumps!

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Funnies for Friday!

By Darrin Stobaugh

image

Funnies for Friday!

A man lay sprawled across three entire seats in the posh theatre. When the usher came by and noticed this, he whispered to the man, “Sorry, sir, but you’re only allowed one seat.” The man groaned but didn’t budge. The usher became impatient. “Sir, if you don’t get up from there I’m going to have to call the manager.” Again, the man just groaned, which infuriated the usher who turned and marched briskly back up the aisle in search of his manager.

In a few moments, both the usher and the manager returned and stood over the man. Together the two of them tried repeatedly to move him, but with no success. Finally, they summoned the police. The cop surveyed the situation briefly then asked, “All right buddy, what’s your name?” “Sam,” the man moaned. “Where ya from, Sam?” With pain in his voice Sam replied “The balcony.”

http://www.lotsofjokes.com/classic_jokes_4.asp

Two guys rob a store, they burst out the door running as they hear the sirens of cop cars coming closer. The two dive into two separate bushes hoping they won’t get caught. Soon the cop cars stop near the bushes and the two robbers hearing foot steps grow more nervous. A cop then grabs one of the guys out the bush laughing “Busted”. As he drags the robber off he looks back shaking his head in shame… “Come on John!!!!!!!!” he screams “They got US!”

http://www.lotsofjokes.com/classic_jokes_4.asp

A lady dropped her handbag in the bustle of holiday shopping. An honest, little boy noticed her drop the handbag, so he picked it up and returned it to her. The lady looked into her handbag and commented, “Hmm… That’s funny. When I lost my bag there was a $20 bill in it. Now there are twenty $1 bills.” The boy quickly replied, “That’s right, lady. The last time I found a purse, the owner didn’t have any change for a reward.”

http://www.lotsofjokes.com/classic_jokes_4.asp

Today’s rates continue to be a joke; they are still trending up by a tick or two!

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Treasury Yields High!

By Darrin Stobaugh

Treasury Yields High!

The 10-year yields have fluctuated up to a three month high.  The 30-year bonds did not have as much motion or highs, even though the Federal Reserve purchased $1.9 billion in Treasuries as part of their continued programs to strengthen the US Economy.  The bright side is that, these yields represent a feeling that the Feds will not add to their monetary stimulus program, which would seem that even in the face of current housing start data and unemployment numbers that investors feel that the US Economy is on the upswing.  For more yielding news, check out:   http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-08-16/treasury-yields-rise-to-three-month-high-before-housing-report.html

Summer Dull Drums?

Not per speculation on Wall Street, who is seeing low trading volume and expect to see it at these levels for a few more weeks.  It appears investors are holding back and not making big changes or switching their investing structures until at least two upcoming events that could require a change in direction for investors.  One is the Federal Reserve which has stated that rates will remain low for now, but that changes are coming, and the second is the European Central Bank’s stance that it will do whatever it takes to preserve the euro.  What is the bright side of this?  The lull allows for market introspection and with lower volumes and smaller moves, it is easier to get a grasp again on the landscape.  Think of letting the dust settle if you will.  For more of the dull drums, click:  http://www.marketwatch.com/story/trading-volume-drop-cant-just-be-blamed-on-summer-2012-08-16

Pedicure anyone?

So a good business person would take this opportunity to get “resources” on the cheap!  Apparently there is a floating “island” of Pumice Stones floating off the coast of New Zealand.  The “island” measures 300 miles long and 30 miles wide!  It is made up of air and light volcanic rock produced by underwater volcanoes.  They say it poses no threat to ships, but Godzilla’s bunions better look out!  For more exfoliating coverage, scrub your mouse over: http://weather.aol.com/2012/08/13/huge-pumice-island-spotted-in-pacific/#page=1

Today’s rates could use a little pumicing as they are still trending up!

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Morgan Stanley and FedEx selling debt!?

By Darrin Stobaugh

Morgan Stanley and FedEx selling debt!?

Yes, after a decade, the sales of longer-term bonds from Morgan Stanley and FedEx are being pushed at a phenomenal rate.  Issuing investment grade bonds that mature in 30 years or more totaling $83.6 billion from December 2011 until now, which is an amount that has surpassed the totals of 20101 and 2011.  What is the bright side of this news?  Corporate Treasurers are feeling comfortable enough about the extension of lower borrowing costs that they are exploiting those extremely low rates so when the target rate is between 0% and .25%, and the average yield on security grade investments is 4.57%, this creates more money for companies to grow and strengthen the economy.  For more on this fast paced selling, check out:   http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-08-13/morgan-stanley-leading-long-bond-sales-to-record-credit-markets.html

 Japan slows and Calendar empty!

After a five week run on gains, US Stocks fell back today as news of Japan’s economy is slowing more dramatically than anticipated and the fact that there is nothing on the economic calendar today to push stocks higher.  Only a tenth of the companies listed on the Dow Jones are trading up this morning.  This is also the 30th anniversary of the beginning of the greatest secular bull market in history.  The bright side is that investors are cashing in some of their gains, which in-turn puts more money into other areas of the market or the economy depending on the investors wants and needs.  For more on the anniversary, click here: http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-stocks-fall-after-five-weeks-of-gains-2012-08-13

Dallas or Oakland?

Yes, pre-season football is upon us and two members of the Guardian family are Dallas Cowboy Fans and at least one member is an Oakland Raiders fan.  So as you can tell, there will be a high level of banter between these groups about the outcome of today’s pre-season game between the two teams.  And because in a rarity, the game is a sellout, so the “blackout” is lifted!  No matter who you root for, let’s all enjoy this football season and may the best teams win!!!!  For more on tonight’s game, pass your mouse over to: http://www.nfl.com/gamecenter/2012081351/2012/PRE1/cowboys@raiders#menu=gameinfo&tab=preview

Today’s rates fumbled, so they lost a little ground!

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Still Safe in the US!

By Darrin Stobaugh

Still Safe in the US!

As Treasuries climb and yields slide to record lows due to continued speculation that Greece’s failure to achieve their bailout targets and worsen the European debt crisis, has made US Treasuries the safest place for investor’s money.  On the bright side, money from around the world is coming to the US, which helps bolster the US economy.  For more safe news, check out: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-07-23/treasury-10-year-yield-touches-record.html

Oil slips on Europe!

Crude oil has declined dramatically today as the European debt crisis continues to weigh on the speculation of demand for crude oil.  On the bright side, the less oil costs, usually the cost of gas declines, which allows Americans to have more spendable cash for housing or consumer goods, which both boost our economy.  For more slick news on oil, click: http://www.marketwatch.com/story/oil-extends-loss-as-stocks-sell-off-2012-07-23

Our prayers!

Usually we post news of the Weird here, but we find it more poignant to take this space to take a moment to send our prayers and good thoughts to the victims and their families of the Denver, Colorado shooting.  So please join us in a moment of silence………….

 

 

Thank you!

Today’s rates are slick as oil and sliding down by a few ticks!

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